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September 2003

OPENMPE@RAVEN.UTC.EDU

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From:
John Burke <[log in to unmask]>
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Date:
Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:32:00 -0700
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Alan Tibbetts wrote:

> I admit that I fail to see how flooding the potential market for an
> emulator with thousands of really cheap converta-boxes is going to
> encourage any potential emulator developers to invest the $1 to $2
> million needed create an emulator.

Possibly true, but we have to look longer term. I'm worried about three
things:

1. I worry that no commercial company will be able to make a business case
to spend $1 million to $2 million to create a production quality emulator -
I don't think anyone has demonstrated there will be a sufficiently large
market.
2. Even if someone can make the business case, I worry that an emulator will
come to market too late to prevent significant defections, reducing further
the potential market.
3. Two above assumes Corporate HP will really cooperate. I still do not see
sufficient evidence it will be a willing partner in any effort to create an
emulator.

>
> And yes, it really does cost that much.

Again, I agree.

John Burke

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