Subject: | |
From: | |
Reply To: | Johnson, Tracy |
Date: | Fri, 20 Feb 2004 11:56:53 -0500 |
Content-Type: | text/plain |
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> -----Original Message-----
> From Tracy Johnson
>> So either the invasion of the Soviet Union would have
>> been put off by a year due to the shortened campaigning
>> season, or the Afrika Corps would have never been sent
>> to bail out the Italians. The Balkan invasions would
>> have probably been on a different timeline also.
>>
>> BT
From: Brice Yokem
> But, with Gibraltar in the hands of the Axis, the Afrika Corp
> might have had an easier time of it? Interesting thought
> experiment?
Probably not. The acquisition of Spain would not necessarily
guarantee the taking of Gibraltar. Although the Germans had
considered it, and made a plan. It likely would have held
out like the Germans did at Brest did in Britanny, maybe even
longer, since Gibraltar is a rock with few civilians.
The key to British success was supply through Iraq via
Palestine. There was a very minor threat from some German
aircraft deployed to Vichy Syria, and Iraq had to be taken too.
When these threats were met, it also secured the overland
supply line to the Persian Gulf and hence to India. About
8 millon tons of supplies were delivered via Persian Gulf
ports from 1941-1945, (90% going to the USSR however,)
enough to supply 60 divisions.
True, DAK "may" have had an easier supply line. But it still
would have had to trace the air-harassed overland route at
least from Tobruk before the Battle of Alam Halfa where Rommel
was stopped anyway.
Also the occupation of Gibraltar would not have prevented the
invasion of Morocco by the 1st U.S. Armored Corps in any case,
nor the sinking of the Vichy French flotilla there by the Brits.
BT
Tracy Johnson
MSI Schaevitz Sensors
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