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September 2005, Week 1

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Subject:
From:
"Senn, Bruce" <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Senn, Bruce
Date:
Thu, 1 Sep 2005 18:06:09 -0400
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Let's see what can be calculated from these facts, Jacks.  Here is the
text from the link Joshua sent.  My comments are marked by <<  >>

Refining/Downstream

The United States experienced a steep decline in refining capacity
between 1981 and the mid-1990s. Between 1981 and 1989, the number of
U.S. refineries fell from 324 to 204, representing a loss of 3 million
bbl/d in operable capacity (from 18.6 million bbl/d to 15.7 million
bbl/d), while refining capacity utilization increased from 69% to 87%. 

<<
1981 18.6 million bbl/d at 69% = 12.83 million bbl/d
1989 15.7 million bbl/d at 87% = 13.66 million bbl/d
So, actual refining increased.  .83/12.83 = 6.5%
>>

While some refineries have closed, and no new refineries have been built
in nearly 30 years, many existing refineries have expanded their
capacities. As a result of capacity creep," whereby existing refineries
create additional refining capacity from the same physical structure,
capacity per operating refinery increased by 28% over the 1990 to 1998
period, for example. Overall, since the mid-1990s, U.S. refinery
capacity has increased from 15.0 million bbl/d in 1994 to 16.9 million
bbl/d in September 2004. Also in September 2004, utilization of
operating capacity at U.S. refineries was averaging around 90%, down
from 97% in July and August. 

<<
1994 15.0 million bbl/d at 97% = 14.55
2004 16.9 million bbl/d at 90% = 15.21
So, actual refining has increased to 15.21 million bbl/d.
2.38/12.83 = 18.5% increase over 1981
0.66/14.55  = 4.2% increase over 1994
>>

So, we have no new refineries, but have increase actual refining by
nearly 20%

Bruce.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
  Bruce J. Senn                 Phone:  (518) 388-6664
  Senior System Manager FAX:    (518) 388-6458
  Union College                 E-mail:  [log in to unmask]
  Schenectady, NY 12308 WWW:  http://www1.union.edu/~sennb
------------------------------------------------------------------------
----


-----Original Message-----
From: HP-3000 Systems Discussion [mailto:[log in to unmask]] On
Behalf Of Joshua Scott
Sent: Thursday, September 01, 2005 5:33 PM
To: [log in to unmask]
Subject: Re: OT: The big oil companies - shame on you!

It says here that it's been 30 years:

http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/usa.html


Best Regards,

Joshua Scott
HP Systems Support Manager
SourceDirect.com
(972) 331-9920
fax: (972) 239-4678
[log in to unmask]

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