Nick Demos said on Wednesday, February 03, 1999 12:08 PM (-0500)
> Yes, BUT we would expect Gartner to know better. We don't need
> forecasters like Gartner to say the obvious, hell, I can do that.
> They are supposed to be smarter or at least better researched. I
> think that Gartner should have known the IBM organization
> and AT LEAST inserted a caveat in its prediction, to wit "If IBM
> aggressively markets and supports OS/2".
What I was trying to say is that *no one* has a bloody crystal ball - not
Gartner, not Forrester (no one mentioned these prima donnas, did they?), not
anyone. One can only go with the data they have.
If anyone puts their entire decision-making stock in Gartner, Forrester, or
any of the other "research firms" - which do a good job most of the time, I
might add - and only in what these overpriced reports say, they're crazy.
There's more that goes into a technology decision than what someone who does
not use the product on a day-to-day basis has to say.
I look at Gartner reports (when I can get my hands on them) and HP has
periodically sent complimentary reprints of Forrester reports in the past.
I read them... but nothing, beats due diligence. You wouldn't buy a house
without due diligence (an inspection, etc. right?) -- how about a car (get
your trusted mechanic to look at it, or at least recommend it) -- then why
should a computer system or software product be any different?
The "Reports" are only a piece of the puzzle. I feel sorry for the original
poster who said that his boss was placing his stock on what Gartner has to
say -- to me, that manager should not be a manager, he should be looking at
a few other areas as well. I think it was Denys (?) who put it best - they
get paid to evaluate, they get paid by user for the reports - they win
either way.
J
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