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May 2002, Week 1

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From:
Fred Kleinsorge <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Fred Kleinsorge <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Fri, 3 May 2002 13:32:30 -0500
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Bill Todd wrote in message ...
>
>"Rob Young" <[log in to unmask]> wrote in message
>news:lGELmlXAGUYz@eisner.encompasserve.org...
>> In article <[log in to unmask]>, "Bill
>Todd" <[log in to unmask]> writes:
>
>...
>
>> > Sorry - UltraSPARC III.  You know, the processor line Rob always
>denigrates
>> > for being such a pig that Itanic will quickly usurp Sun's entire
>customer
>> > base as its start on conquering the world.  That's why it would be so
>funny
>> > if McKinley turned out to be slower after all.
>> >
>>
>> Is that an "official" prognostication, or a wish?
>
>I made a quantitive prediction (based on publicly-available information
>which I described) some time ago that McKinley would weigh in at 600 - 700
>SPECint2K (and most likely in the middle of that range), and I stand by it
>(unless it gets delayed so long that Intel can skip the first release
>entirely and go directly to what would have been the first major
>post-release process tweak - which is looking increasingly possible).  The
>best USIII SPECint2K currently is 610, but since such values do tend to
rise
>as new configurations appear I'd say there's a distinct possibility, though
>perhaps not a better-than-even chance, that if McKinley doesn't in fact
wait
>for a process-tweak before releasing it will at introduction have a hard
>time equalling USIII's SPECint2K speed.
>

So there you go.  Assuming your predictions are right, McKinley will beat
USIII (and even your outside estimate of USIII getting faster doesn't take
into account the tricked up compiler that caused the temportary "upgrade" of
USIII speed).

So IA64 systems will at minimum be performance competetive with USIII, and
from what I understand will be priced much lower.

Will EV7 be faster than McKinley.  I don't think there is any doubt about
that.

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