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Reply To: | VANCE,JEFF (HP-Cupertino,ex1) |
Date: | Tue, 29 Feb 2000 15:48:41 -0700 |
Content-Type: | text/plain |
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> for the first 6 tosses, the chances of getting all heads are .5**6.
Agreed.
> But if you get 20 tosses, that's fourteen more tries at
> getting all six in a row. So that would be 14 * .5**6,
> or is it 15 * .5**6 ?
Following that logic you would add the probabilities of each
try, not multiply, if my memory serves me -- which it hasn't
lately :[
But adding the individual probabilities means you reach 1
if you do 64 tosses, and we know that the probability of
getting 6 heads in a row in 64 tosses cannot be 1. That
is why is figured the number of tosses does not matter.
Also, since a few asked, the order what you toss before
getting 6 heads in a row does not matter. Here is a possible
solution "graph":
HHHHHH
THHHHHH
xTHHHHHH
xxTHHHHHH
xxxTHHHHHH
...
xxxxxxxxxxxxxTHHHHHH
where x could be a H or a T.
Kind of fun,
Jeff
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