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August 2005, Week 3

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From:
Christian Lheureux <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Christian Lheureux <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Tue, 16 Aug 2005 09:45:59 +0200
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Remember the famous quote : "There are lies, blatant lies and statistics."

Remember who pronounced that ?

Christian Lheureux
Directeur BU Infrastructure / Manager of IT Infrastructure BU
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En mai 2004,APPIC RH devient BTW Computing, une activité du Groupe BTW
In May 2004, APPIC RH becomes BTW Computing, an activity of the BTW Group 

> -----Message d'origine-----
> De : HP-3000 Systems Discussion [mailto:[log in to unmask]] De la part
> de Larry Barnes
> Envoyé : vendredi 12 août 2005 17:02
> À : [log in to unmask]
> Objet : Re: [HP3000-L] OT: Scientists find errors in global warming data
> 
> So, they were just a bunch of hot-heads trying to justify their
> theories.  Kind-a-like the medical studies that are now coming under
> more scrutiny because researches were twisting their finds to validate
> their pocket book.
> Never fear, the data will keep coming in and researchers will continue
> to twist the data around the validate their points of view.
> How does it go?  Numbers don't lie but statisticians do?
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: HP-3000 Systems Discussion [mailto:[log in to unmask]] On
> Behalf Of Michael Baier
> Sent: Friday, August 12, 2005 7:55 AM
> To: [log in to unmask]
> Subject: [HP3000-L] OT: Scientists find errors in global warming data
> 
> Scientists find errors in global warming data By Dan Vergano, USA TODAY
> Fri Aug 12, 7:32 AM ET
> 
> Satellite and weather-balloon research released Friday removes a last
> bastion of scientific doubt about global warming, researchers say.
> 
> Surface temperatures have shown small but steady increases since the
> 1970s, but the tropics had shown little atmospheric heating - and even
> some cooling. Now, after sleuthing reported in three papers released by
> the journal Science, revisions have been made to that atmospheric data.
> 
> Climate expert Ben Santer of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in
> California, lead author of one of the papers, says that those fairly
> steady measurements in the tropics have been a key argument "among
> people asking, 'Why should I believe this global warming hocus-pocus?' "
> 
> After examining the satellite data, collected since 1979 by National
> Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration weather satellites, Carl Mears
> and Frank Wentz of Remote Sensing Systems in Santa Rosa, Calif., found
> that the satellites had drifted in orbit, throwing off the timing of
> temperature measures. Essentially, the satellites were increasingly
> reporting nighttime temperatures as daytime ones, leading to a false
> cooling trend. The team also found a math error in the calculations.
> 
> "Our hats are off to (them). They found a real source of error," says
> atmospheric scientist John Christy of the University of Alabama at
> Huntsville, whose team produced the lower temperature estimates.
> 
> When examining the balloon data, Yale University researchers found that
> heating from tropical sunlight was skewing the temperatures reported by
> sensors, making nights look as warm as days.
> 
> Once corrected, the satellite and balloon temperatures align with other
> surface and upper-atmosphere measures, as well as climate change models,
> Santer says.
> 
> Global warming's pace over the past 30 years has actually been quite
> slow, a total increase of about 1 degree Fahrenheit. It is predicted to
> accelerate in this century.
> 
> Mark Herlong of the George C. Marshall Institute declined to comment.
> The group, financed by the petroleum industry, has used the data
> disparities to dispute the views of global-warming activists. In recent
> years, however, the institute has softened its public statements,
> acknowledging that the planet is indeed getting warmer but still
> maintaining that the change is happening so slowly that the impact is
> minimal.
> 
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