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August 2005, Week 2

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From:
Michael Baier <[log in to unmask]>
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Michael Baier <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Fri, 12 Aug 2005 10:55:24 -0400
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Scientists find errors in global warming data By Dan Vergano, USA TODAY
Fri Aug 12, 7:32 AM ET

Satellite and weather-balloon research released Friday removes a last
bastion of scientific doubt about global warming, researchers say.

Surface temperatures have shown small but steady increases since the 1970s,
but the tropics had shown little atmospheric heating - and even some
cooling. Now, after sleuthing reported in three papers released by the
journal Science, revisions have been made to that atmospheric data.

Climate expert Ben Santer of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in
California, lead author of one of the papers, says that those fairly steady
measurements in the tropics have been a key argument "among people
asking, 'Why should I believe this global warming hocus-pocus?' "

After examining the satellite data, collected since 1979 by National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration weather satellites, Carl Mears and
Frank Wentz of Remote Sensing Systems in Santa Rosa, Calif., found that the
satellites had drifted in orbit, throwing off the timing of temperature
measures. Essentially, the satellites were increasingly reporting nighttime
temperatures as daytime ones, leading to a false cooling trend. The team
also found a math error in the calculations.

"Our hats are off to (them). They found a real source of error," says
atmospheric scientist John Christy of the University of Alabama at
Huntsville, whose team produced the lower temperature estimates.

When examining the balloon data, Yale University researchers found that
heating from tropical sunlight was skewing the temperatures reported by
sensors, making nights look as warm as days.

Once corrected, the satellite and balloon temperatures align with other
surface and upper-atmosphere measures, as well as climate change models,
Santer says.

Global warming's pace over the past 30 years has actually been quite slow,
a total increase of about 1 degree Fahrenheit. It is predicted to
accelerate in this century.

Mark Herlong of the George C. Marshall Institute declined to comment. The
group, financed by the petroleum industry, has used the data disparities to
dispute the views of global-warming activists. In recent years, however,
the institute has softened its public statements, acknowledging that the
planet is indeed getting warmer but still maintaining that the change is
happening so slowly that the impact is minimal.

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