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May 2002, Week 5

HP3000-L@RAVEN.UTC.EDU

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From:
Denys Beauchemin <[log in to unmask]>
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Date:
Thu, 30 May 2002 14:15:15 -0500
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Thank you for reinforcing my point about the current day Palestinian
terrorist not being anything close to the Kamikaze of WWII.  To your other
point:

I said the vast majority of Kamikazes were blown out of the sky.

"... The Japanese were confident that they could do serious damage with
their Kamikazes, and they were probably right.  Through the end of the war,
for each 15 Kamikaze aircraft lost, one Allied ship was damaged, and for
every 100 Kamikazes shot down, one Allied ship was sunk.  American defenses
against the Kamikazes were getting better as the war went on, but these
attacks would still be effective.  During the first Kamikaze attack in late
1944, 1 in 6 aircraft hit something.  By the time of the Okinawa campaign in
early 1945, only 1 Kamikaze in 9 was doing any damage.  Both sides
calculated that only 1 in 12 to 20 Kamikazes would connect during the
Downfall operation (the overall plan for the defeat of Japan, of which
Operation Olympus was the first major invasion.)  But the Japanese also
decided to change their Kamikaze tactics, going for troopships and landing
craft rather than carriers and battleships.  This was expected to destroy
the equivalent of two divisions (over 30,000 soldiers and sailors) before
they got ashore.,,"

This is taken from Victory at Sea by James Dunnigan and Albert Nofi.

Yes, the Kamikazes did some real damage.  But as I said, they would not have
stopped the fleet.  It would have been bloody however.  And if they had
started a year earlier, the Allies would have come up with a more effective
defense tactic against them earlier.  One must always view things in the
context that if in war, one side does something new or unexpected, the other
side will develop tactics also to meet the challenge.

Denys

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