I recieved this from my sister.  It is rather long but worth the time.  I 
found some of what he stated very similar to what I observed while living in 
Northern Ireland in 1972.  The parts about training a new generation of 
hatered and the different circles of power or influence.
Note the date this speach was given, 2004, and then think about what just 
happened in Palestine.



Gary S. Grabulis, Ctr.
Synergy, Inc., (an ICF Consulting Company)
Agile Combat Support Concepts, Doctrine and Strategy
HQ USAF/ILGX
1030 Air Force Pentagon
Washington, D.C. 20330-1030
(703) 697-0321
DSN 227-0321

The Arab who wrote this is: Haim Harari, Chair, Davidson Institute of
Science Education.

"A View from the Eye of the Storm"

Talk delivered by Haim Harari at a meeting of the International Advisory
Board of a large multi-national corporation,
April, 2004:

"As you know, I usually provide the scientific and technological
"entertainment" in our meetings, but, on this occasion, our Chairman
suggested that I present my own personal view on events in the part of
the world from which I come.

I have never been and I will never be a Government official and I have
no privileged information.  My perspective is
entirely based on what I see, on what I read and on the fact that my
family has lived in this region for almost 200 years.  You may regard my
views as those of the proverbial taxi driver, which you are supposed to
question, when you visit a country.

I could have shared with you some fascinating facts and some personal
thoughts about the Israeli-Arab conflict. However, I will touch upon it
only in passing.  I prefer to devote most of my remarks to the broader
picture of the region and its place in world events.  I refer to the
entire area between Pakistan and Morocco, which is predominantly Arab,
predominantly Moslem, but includes many non-Arab and also significant
non-Moslem minorities.

Why do I put aside Israel and its own immediate neighborhood?  Because
Israel and any problems related to it, in spite of what you might read
or hear in the world media, is not the central issue, and has never been
the central issue in the upheaval in the region.

Yes, there is a 100 year-old Israeli-Arab conflict, but it is not where
the main show is.  The millions who died in the
Iran-Iraq war had nothing to do with Israel. The mass murder happening
right now in Sudan, where the Arab Moslem regime is massacring its black
Christian citizens, has nothing to do with Israel. The frequent reports
from Algeria about the murders of hundreds of civilians in one village
or another by other Algerians have nothing to do with Israel.  Saddam
Hussein did not invade Kuwait, endangered Saudi Arabia and butchered his
own people because of Israel. Egypt did not use poison gas against Yemen
in the 60's because of Israel. Assad the Father did not kill tens of
thousands of his own citizens in one week in El Hamma in Syria because
of Israel. The Taliban control of Afghanistan and the civil war there
had nothing to do with Israel. The Libyan blowing up of the Pan-Am
flight had nothing to do with Israel, and I could go on and on and on.
But enough on Israel.  It's a red herring to the root causes I wish to
discuss.

The root of the trouble is that this entire Moslem region is totally
dysfunctional, by any standard of the word, and
would have been so even if Israel had joined the Arab league and an
independent Palestine had existed for 100 years.

The 22 member countries of the Arab league, from Mauritania to the Gulf
States, have a total population of 300 million,
larger than the US and almost as large as the EU before its expansion.
They have a land area larger than either the US or all of Europe. These
22 countries, with all their oil and natural resources, have a combined
GDP smaller than that of
Netherlands plus Belgium and equal to half of the GDP of California
alone. Within this meager GDP, the gaps between rich and poor are beyond
belief and too many of the rich made their money not by succeeding in
business, but by being corrupt rulers.

The social status of women is far below what it was in the Western World
150 years ago.  Human rights are below any
reasonable standard, in spite of the grotesque fact that Libya was
elected Chair of the UN Human Rights commission.

According to a report prepared by a committee of Arab intellectuals and
published under the auspices of the U.N., the
number of books translated by the entire Arab world is much smaller than
what little Greece alone translates.

Birth rates in the region are very high, increasing the poverty, the
social gaps and the cultural decline. And all of this
is happening in a region, which only 30 years ago, was believed to be
the next wealthy part of the world, and in a Moslem area, which
developed, at some point in history, one of the most advanced cultures
in the world.

It is fair to say that this creates an unprecedented breeding ground for
cruel dictators, terror networks, fanaticism,
incitement, suicide murders and general decline.  It is also a fact that
almost everybody in the region blames this situation on the United
States, on Israel, on Western Civilization, on Judaism and Christianity,
on anyone and anything, except themselves.

A word about the millions of decent, honest, good people who are either
devout Moslems or are not very religious but grew
up in Moslem families:

They are double victims of an outside world, which now develops
Islamophobia and of their own environment, which breaks their heart by
being totally dysfunctional.  The problem is that the vast silent
majority of these Moslems are not part of the terror and of the
incitement, but they also do not stand up against it.  They become
accomplices, by omission, and
this applies to political leaders, intellectuals, business people and
many others.  Many of them can certainly tell right
from wrong, but are afraid to express their views.

The events of the last few years have amplified four issues, which have
always existed, but have never been as rampant as
in the present upheaval in the region.  A few more years may pass before
everybody acknowledges that it is a World War, but we are already well
into it.

These are the four main pillars of the current World Conflict, or
perhaps we should already refer to it as "the undeclared
World War III":

1. The first element is the suicide murder. Suicide murders are not a
new invention but they have been made popular, if I may use this
expression, only lately.  Even after September 11, it seems that most of
the Western World does not yet understand this weapon.  It is a very
potent psychological weapon.  Its real direct impact is relatively
minor.  The total number of casualties from hundreds of suicide murders
within Israel in the last three years is much smaller than those due to
car accidents.  September 11 was quantitatively much less lethal than
many earthquakes.  More people die from AIDS in one day in Africa than
all the Russians who died in the hands of Chechnya-based Moslem suicide
murderers since that conflict started.  Saddam killed every month more
people than all those who died from suicide murders since the Coalition
occupation ofIraq.

So what is all the fuss about suicide killings? It creates headlines.
It is spectacular.  It is frightening.  It is a very cruel death with
bodies dismembered and horrible severe lifelong injuries to many of the
wounded.  It is always shown on television in great detail. One such
murder, with the help of hysterical media coverage, can destroy the
tourism industry of a country for quite a while, as it did in Bali and
in Turkey.  But the real fear comes from the undisputed fact that no
defense and no preventive measures can succeed against a determined
suicide murderer.  This has not yet penetrated the thinking of the
Western World. The U.S. and Europe are constantly improving their
defense against the last
murder, not the next one.  We may arrange for the best airport security
in the world.  But if you want to murder by suicide, you do not have to
board a plane in order to explode yourself and kill many people.  Who
could stop a suicide murder in the midst of the crowded line waiting to
be checked by the airport metal detector?  How about the lines to the
check-in counters in a busy travel period?  Put a metal detector in
front of every train station in Spain and the terrorists will get the
buses.  Protect the buses and they will explode in movie theaters,
concert halls, supermarkets,
shopping malls, schools and hospitals. Put guards in front of every
concert hall and there will always be a line of people to be checked by
the guards and this line will be the target, not to speak of killing the
guards themselves.  You can somewhat reduce your vulnerability by
preventive and defensive measures and by strict border controls but not
eliminate it and definitely not win the war in a defensive way. And it
is a war!

What is behind the suicide murders? Money, power and cold-blooded
murderous incitement, nothing else.  It has nothing to do with true
fanatic religious beliefs.  No Moslem preacher has ever blown himself
up.  No son of an Arab politician or religious leader has ever blown
himself.

No relative of anyone influential has done it.  Wouldn't you expect some
of the religious leaders to do it themselves, or to talk their sons into
doingit, if this is truly a supreme act of religious fervor?  Aren't
they interested in the benefits of going to Heaven?  Instead, they send
outcast women, naive children, retarded people and young incited
hotheads.  They promise them the delights, mostly sexual, of the next
world, and pay their families handsomely after the supreme act is
performed and enough innocent people are dead.

Suicide murders also have nothing to do with poverty and despair.  The
poorest region in the world, by far, is Africa. It never happens there.
There are numerous desperate people in the world, in different cultures,
countries and continents.  Desperation does not provide anyone with
explosives, reconnaissance and transportation. There was certainly more
despair in Saddam's Iraq then in Paul Bremmer's Iraq, and no one
exploded himself.  A suicide murder is simply a horrible,  vicious
weapon of cruel,inhuman, cynical, well-funded terrorists, with no regard
to human life, including the life of their fellow countrymen, but with
very high regard to their own affluent well-being and their hunger for
power.

The only way to fight this new "popular" weapon is identical to the only
way in which you fight organized crime or pirates
on the high seas: the offensive way.

Like in the case of organized crime, it is crucial that the forces on
the offensive be united and it is crucial to reach
the top of the crime pyramid.   You cannot eliminate organized crime by
arresting the little drug dealer in the street corner.  You must go
after the head of the "Family."  If part of the public supports it,
others tolerate it, many are
afraid of it and some try to explain it away by poverty or by a
miserable childhood, organized crime will thrive and so
will terrorism.

The United States understands this now, after September 11. Russia is
beginning to understand it.  Turkey understands it well.  I am very much
afraid that most of Europe still does not understand it.  Unfortunately,
it seems that Europe will understand it only after suicide murders
arrive in Europe in a big way.  In my humble opinion, this will
definitely happen. The Spanish trains and the Istanbul bombings are only
the beginning.  The unity of the Civilized World in fighting this horror
is absolutely indispensable.  Until Europe wakes up, this unity will not
be achieved.

2.  The second ingredient is words, more precisely lies. Words can be
lethal.  They kill people.  It is often said that politicians, diplomats
and perhaps also lawyers and business people must sometimes lie, as part
of their professional life.  But the norms of politics and diplomacy are
childish, in comparison with the level of incitement and total absolute
deliberate fabrications, which have reached new heights in the region we
are talking about.  An incredible number of people in the Arab world
believe that September 11 never happened, or was an American provocation
or, even better, a Jewish plot.

You all remember the Iraqi Minister of Information, Mr. Mouhamad Said
al-Sahaf and his press conferences when the US  forces were already
inside Baghdad.  Disinformation at time of war is an accepted tactic.

But to stand, day after day, and to make such preposterous
statements,known to everybody to be lies, without even being
ridiculed in your own milieu, can only happen in this region.  Mr. Sahaf
eventually became a popular icon as a court jester, but this did not
stop some allegedly respectable newspapers from giving him equal time.
It also does not prevent the Western press from giving credence, every
day, even now, to similar liars.

After all, if you want to be an anti-Semite, there are subtle ways of
doing it.  You do not have to claim that the holocaust never happened,
and that the Jewish temple in Jerusalem never existed. But millions of
Moslems are told by their leaders that this is the case. When these same
leaders make other statements, the Western media report them  as if they
could be true.

It is a daily occurrence that the same people, who finance, arm and
dispatch suicide murderers, condemn the act in  English in front of
western TV cameras, talking to  a world audience, which even partly
believes them. It is a daily routine to hear the same leader making
opposite statements in Arabic to his people and in English to the rest
of the world. Incitement by Arab TV, accompanied by horror pictures of
mutilated bodies, has become a powerful weapon of those who lie, distort
and want to destroy everything.

Little children are raised on deep hatred and on admiration of so-called
martyrs, and the Western World does not notice it
because its own TV sets are mostly tuned to soap operas and game shows.
I recommend to you, even though most of you do not understand Arabic, to
watch Al Jazeera, from time to time.  You will not believe your own
eyes.

But words also work in other ways, more subtle. A demonstration in
Berlin, carrying banners supporting Saddam's regime and
featuring three-year old babies dressed as suicide murderers, is defined
by the press and by political leaders as a "peace demonstration".  You
may support or oppose the Iraq war, but to refer to fans of Saddam,
Arafat or Bin Laden as peace activists is a bit too much.  A woman walks
into an Israeli restaurant in mid-day, eats, observes families with old
people and children eating their lunch in the adjacent tables and pays
the bill. She then blows herself up, killing 20 people, including many
children, with heads and arms rolling around in the restaurant.  She is
called "martyr" by several Arab leaders and "activist" by the European
press. Dignitaries condemn the act but visit her bereaved family and the
money flows.

There is a new game in town:  The actual murderer is called "the
military wing", the one who pays him, equips him and sends him is now
called "the political wing" and the head of the operation is called the
"spiritual leader".  There are numerous other examples of such Orwellian
nomenclature, used every day not only by terror chiefs but also by
Western media.  These words are much more dangerous than many people
realize.  They provide an emotional infrastructure for atrocities.  It
was Joseph Goebels who said that if you repeat a lie often enough,
people will believe it.  He is now being outperformed by his successors.

3.  The third aspect is money. Huge amounts of money, which could have
solved many social problems in this dysfunctional part of the world, are
channeled into three concentric spheres supporting death and murder.

In the inner circle are the terrorists themselves.  The money funds
their travel, explosives, hideouts and permanent search for soft
vulnerable targets.  The inner circles are primarily financed by
terrorist states like Iran and Syria, until recently also by Iraq and
Libya and earlier also by some of the Communist regimes.  These states,
as well as the Palestinian Authority, are the safe havens of the
wholesale murder vendors.

They are surrounded by a second wider circle of direct supporters,
planners, commanders, preachers, all of whom make a living, usually a
very comfortable living, by serving as terror infrastructure. Finally,
we find the third circle of so-called religious, educational and welfare
organizations, which actually do some good, feed the hungry and provide
some schooling, but brainwash a new generation with hatred, lies and
ignorance.  This circle operates mostly through mosques, madrasas and
other religious establishments but also through inciting electronic and
printed media.  It is this circle that makes sure that women remain
inferior, that democracy is unthinkable and that exposure to the outside
world is minimal.  It is also that circle that leads the way in blaming
everybody outside the Moslem world for the miseries of the region.  The
outer circle is largely financed by Saudi Arabia, but also by donations
from certain Moslem communities in the United States and Europe and, to
a smaller extent, by donations of European Governments to various NGO's
and by certain United Nations organizations, whose goals may be noble,
but they are infested and exploited by agents of the outer circle.  The
Saudi regime, of course, will be the next victim of major terror, when
the inner circle will explode into the outer circle.  The Saudis are
beginning to understand it, but they fight the inner circles, while
still financing the infrastructure at the outer circle. Figuratively
speaking, this outer circle is the guardian, which makes sure that the
people look and listen inwards to the inner circle of terror and
incitement, rather than to the world outside. Some parts of this same
outer circle actually operate as a result of fear from, or blackmail by,
the inner circles.  The horrifying added factor is the high birth rate.
Half of the population of the Arab world is under the age of 20, the
most receptiveage to incitement, guaranteeing two more generations of
blind hatred. Some of the leaders of these various circles live very
comfortably on their loot.  You meet their children in the best private
schools in Europe, not in the training camps of suicide murderers.  The
Jihad "soldiers" join packaged death tours to Iraq and other hotspots,
while some of their leaders ski in Switzerland.  Mrs. Arafat, who lives
in Paris with her daughter, receives tens of thousands of dollars per
month from the allegedly bankrupt Palestinian Authority, while a typical
local ringleader of the Al-Aksa brigade, reporting to Arafat, receives
only a cash payment of a couple of hundred dollars, for performing
murders at the retail level.

4.  The fourth element of the current world conflict is the total
breaking of all laws. The civilized world believes in democracy, the
rule of law, including international law, human rights, free speech and
free press, among other liberties.  There are naive old-fashioned habits
such as respecting religious sites and symbols, not using ambulances and
hospitals for acts of war, avoiding the mutilation of dead bodies and
not using children as human shields or human bombs.  Never in history,
not even in the Nazi period, was there such total disregard of all of
the above as we observe now.  Every student of political science debates
how you prevent an anti-democratic force from winning a democratic
election and abolishing democracy.  Other aspects of a civilized society
must also have limitations.  Can a policeman open fire on someone trying
to kill him?

Can a government listen to phone conversations of terrorists and drug
dealers?  Does free speech protects you when you
shout "fire" in a crowded theater?  Should there be death penalty, for
deliberate multiple murders? These are the old-fashioned dilemmas.  But
now we have an entire new set.

Do you raid a mosque, which serves as a terrorist ammunition storage? Do
you return fire, if you are attacked from a hospital?  Do you storm a
church taken over by terrorists who took the priests hostages?  Do you
search every ambulance after a few suicide murderers use ambulances to
reach their targets?  Do you strip every woman because one pretended to
be pregnant and carried a suicide bomb on her belly? Do you shoot back
at someone trying to kill you, standing deliberately> behind a group of
children?  Do you raid terrorist headquarters, hidden in a mental
hospital?

Do you shoot an arch-murderer who deliberately moves from one location
to another, always surrounded by children?  All of these happen daily in
Iraq and in the Palestinian areas.  What do you do?  Well, you do not
want to face the dilemma.  But it cannot be avoided.

Suppose, for the sake of discussion, that someone would openly stay in a
well-known address in Teheran, hosted by the  Iranian Government and
financed by it, executing one atrocity after another in Spain or in
France, killing hundreds of innocent people, accepting responsibility
for the crimes, promising in public TV interviews to do more of the
same, while the Government of Iran issues public condemnations of his
acts but continues to host him, invite him to official functions and
treat him as a great dignitary.  I leave it to you as homework to figure
out what Spain or France would have done, in such a situation.

The problem is that the civilized world is still having illusions about
the rule of law in a totally lawless environment.  It is trying to play
ice hockey by sending a  ballerina ice-skater into the rink or to knock
out a heavyweight boxer by a chess player.  In the same way that no
country has a law against cannibals eating its prime minister, because
such an act is unthinkable, international law does not address killers
shooting from hospitals, mosques and ambulances, while being  protected
by their Government or society.  International law does not know how to
handle someone who sends children to throw stones, stands behind them
and shoots with immunity and cannot be arrested because he is sheltered
by a Government.  International law does not know how to deal with a
leader of murderers who is royally and comfortably hosted by a country,
which pretends to condemn his acts or just claims to be too weak to
arrest him.

The amazing thing is that all of these crooks demand protection under
international law, and define all those who attack them as "war
criminals," with some Western media repeating the allegations.

The good news is that all of this is temporary, because the evolution of
international law has always adapted itself to reality.  The punishment
for suicide murder should be death or arrest before the murder, not
during and not after.  After every world war, the rules of international
law have changed, and the same will happen after the present one.  But
during the twilight zone, a lot of harm can be done.

The picture I described here is not pretty.  What can we do about it?
In the short run, only fight and win.  In the long run - only educate
the next generation and open it to the world.  The inner circles can and
must be destroyed by force.

The outer circle cannot be eliminated by force. Here we need financial
starvation of the organizing elite, more power to women, more education,
counter propaganda, boycott whenever feasible and access to Western
media, internet and the international scene.  Above all, we need a total
absolute unity and determination of the civilized world against all
three circles of evil.  Allow me, for a moment, to depart from my
alleged role as a taxi driver and return to science.  When you have a
malignant tumor, you may remove the tumor itself surgically.  You may
also starve it by preventing new blood from reaching it from other parts
of the body, thereby preventing new "supplies" from expanding the tumor.
If you want to be sure, it is best to do both.

But before you fight and win, by force or otherwise, you have to realize
that you are in a war, and this may take Europe a few more years.  In
order to win, it is necessary to first eliminate the terrorist regimes,
so that no Government in the world will serve as a safe haven for these
people.

I do not want to comment here on whether the American led attack on Iraq
was justified from the point of view of weapons of mass destruction or
any other pre-war argument, but I can look at the post-war map of
Western Asia. Now that Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya are out, two and a
half terrorist states remain: Iran, Syria and Lebanon, the latter being
a Syrian colony. Perhaps Sudan should be added to the list.  As a result
of the conquest of Afghanistan and Iraq, both Iran and Syria are now
totally surrounded by territories unfriendly to them.  Iran is encircled
by Afghanistan, by the Gulf States, Iraq and the Moslem republics of the
former Soviet Union. Syria is surrounded by Turkey, Iraq, Jordan and
Israel.  This is a significant strategic change and it applies strong
pressure on the terrorist countries.  It is not surprising that Iran is
so active in trying to incite a Shiite uprising in Iraq.  I do not know
if the American plan was actually to encircle both Iran and Syria, but
that is the resulting situation.

In my humble opinion, the number one danger to the world today is Iran
and its regime.  It definitely has ambitions to rule vast areas and to
expand in all directions.  It has an ideology, which claims supremacy
over Western culture.  It is ruthless.  It has proven that it can
execute elaborate terrorist acts without leaving too many traces, using
Iranian Embassies. It is clearly trying to develop nuclear weapons. Its
so-called moderates and conservatives play their own virtuoso version of
the "good-cop versus bad-cop" game.  Iran sponsors Syrian terrorism, it
is certainly behind much of the action in Iraq, it is fully funding the
Hezbollah and, through it, the Palestinian Hamas and Islamic Jihad, it
performed acts of terror at least in Europe and in South America and
probably also in Uzbekistan and Saudi Arabia and it truly leads a
multi-national terror consortium, which includes, as minor players,
Syria, Lebanon and certain Shiite elements in Iraq.  Nevertheless, most
European countries still trade with Iran, try to appease it and refuse
to read the clear signals.

In order to win the war it is also necessary to dry up the financial
resources of the terror conglomerate.  It is  pointless to try to
understand the subtle differences between the Sunni terror of Al Qaeda
and Hamas and the Shiite terror of Hezbollah, Sadr and other Iranian
inspired enterprises.  When it serves their business needs, all of them
collaborate
beautifully.

It is crucial to stop Saudi and other financial support of the outer
circle, which is the fertile breeding ground of terror.  It is important
to monitor all donations from the Western World to Islamic
organizations, to monitor the finances of international relief
organizations and to react with forceful economic measures to any small
sign of financial aid to any of the three circles of terrorism.

It is also important to act decisively against the campaign of lies and
fabrications and to monitor those Western media  who collaborate with it
out of naivety, financial interests or ignorance.

Above all, never surrender to terror. No one will ever know whether the
recent elections in Spain would have yielded a different result, if not
for the train bombings a few days earlier.  But it really does not
matter. What matters is that the terrorists believe that they caused the
result and that they won by driving Spain out of Iraq.  The Spanish
story will surely end up being extremely costly to other European
countries, including France, who is now expelling inciting  preachers
and forbidding veils and including others who sent troops to Iraq.  In
the long run, Spain itself will pay even more.

Is the solution a democratic Arab world? If by democracy we mean free
elections but also free press, free speech, a functioning judicial
system, civil liberties, equality to women, free international travel,
exposure to international media and ideas, laws against racial
incitement and against defamation, and avoidance of lawless behavior
regarding hospitals, places of worship and children, then yes, democracy
is the solution.

If democracy is just free elections, it is likely that the most fanatic
regime will be elected, the one whose incitement
and fabrications are the most inflammatory.  We have seen it already in
Algeria and, to a certain extent, in Turkey.  It will happen again, if
the ground is not prepared very carefully.  On the other hand, a certain
transition democracy, as in Jordan, may be a better temporary solution,
paving the way for the real thing, perhaps in the same way that an
immediate> sudden democracy did not work in Russia and would not have
worked in China.

I have no doubt that the civilized world will prevail.  But the longer
it takes us to understand the new landscape of this war, the more costly
and painful the victory will be.  Europe, more than any other region, is
the key.  Its understandable recoil from wars, following the horrors of
World War II, may cost thousands of additional innocent lives, before
the tide
will turn."

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